The Dr. K. NCAA Football Forecasts2018: Bowl Games |
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The following predictions are based completely on the Kambour football ratings . The results are sorted by start time. The numbers in parentheses represent the point-spread. The over/under pick is in parentheses with a U or O. The next 3 columns represent the estimated probabilities. The first number is the probability that the team picked to win actually wins. The second is the probability that the team picked to beat the spread beats the spread. The third is the probability that we beat the over/under. Printer friendly links and links with games sorted by value according to spread and over/ under are listed at the bottom of the page. |
North Texas (U 66.5) 26
Utah St (-9) 38 0.7742 0.5808 0.5523
Tulane (-3.5) 28
UL Lafayette (U 59) 24 0.6122 0.5245 0.6330
Arizona St (O 52) 24
Fresno St (-4.5) 30 0.6445 0.5315 0.5358
E Michigan (+1) 28
Georgia So (O 47.5) 24 0.5959 0.6207 0.5828
Middle Tenn St (U 50.5) 19
Appalachian St (-7) 31 0.7828 0.6259 0.5340
N Illinois (+2.5) 26
UAB (O 43.5) 24 0.5529 0.6165 0.6418
Ohio (U 54) 27
San Diego St (+3) 24 0.5679 0.5090 0.5409
Marshall (+2.5) 28
South Florida (O 55.5) 29 0.5217 0.5411 0.5209
Florida Intl (+6) 30
Toledo (U 68.5) 35 0.6293 0.5137 0.5894
BYU (O 48.5) 31
W Michigan (+12) 24 0.6793 0.6184 0.6361
Wake Forest (+5) 37
Memphis (U 73.5) 34 0.5691 0.6802 0.5665
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* Best Bet against the Over/Under
* Houston (U 67) 23
* Army (-3) 28 0.6348 0.5585 0.8358
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Buffalo (U 53.5) 24
Troy (+2.5) 27 0.5666 0.6299 0.5627
Louisiana Tech (+1) 33
Hawaii (O 60) 30 0.5783 0.6018 0.5319
Boston College (+3) 23
Boise St (U 55) 26 0.5676 0.5110 0.6498
Minnesota (U 60.5) 24
Georgia Tech (-4) 30 0.6404 0.5401 0.6843
TCU (E) 27
California (O 40.5) 21 0.6592 0.6592 0.6872
Duke (+3) 23
Temple (U 56) 24 0.5352 0.5443 0.7100
Miami Fl (U 47) 21
Wisconsin (+4) 22 0.5264 0.6326 0.6016
Baylor (U 55) 24
Vanderbilt (-3.5) 30 0.6577 0.5722 0.5290
Auburn (-4) 28
Purdue (U 54.5) 23 0.6195 0.5170 0.6511
Syracuse (U 68.5) 30
West Virginia (-1.5) 38 0.6844 0.6519 0.5232
Iowa St (+3.5) 24
Washington St (U 54.5) 26 0.5485 0.5416 0.5779
Florida (+7.5) 19
Michigan (U 50.5) 24 0.6241 0.5761 0.6676
Arkansas St (-1) 30
Nevada (U 60) 28 0.5616 0.5369 0.5297
South Carolina (-4) 28
Virginia (U 54.5) 20 0.7091 0.6120 0.7034
Oklahoma (U 81) 26
Alabama (-14) 41 0.8158 0.5222 0.7752
Notre Dame (U 55) 19
Clemson (-11.5) 35 0.8460 0.6070 0.5505
Virginia Tech (+5) 23
Cincinnati (U 53.5) 24 0.5321 0.5999 0.6923
Pittsburgh (+6.5) 24
Stanford (O 52) 30 0.6570 0.5061 0.5302
Michigan St (+3) 30
Oregon (O 48) 26 0.5893 0.6618 0.6226
Missouri (O 74) 39
Oklahoma St (+7.5) 35 0.5959 0.5753 0.5075
Northwestern (+7) 20
Utah (U 45) 27 0.6716 0.5118 0.5042
NC State (+4.5) 31
Texas A&M (O 58.5) 32 0.5217 0.5873 0.5883
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* Best Bet against the Point Spread
* Iowa (+6.5) 21
* Mississippi St (U 44.5) 20 0.5288 0.6946 0.5296
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Kentucky (O 48) 23
Penn St (-6) 31 0.6924 0.5481 0.6591
LSU (U 55.5) 26
C Florida (+7.5) 27 0.5032 0.6875 0.5788
Washington (+6) 23
Ohio St (U 58) 28 0.6191 0.5343 0.6263
Texas (U 58) 19
Georgia (-11) 31 0.7881 0.5272 0.7304
2018 Record
Straight-up vs. Spread Over/Under
Last Week 1-0-0 1.000 0-0-1 0.500 0-1-0 0.000
Season 548-185-0 0.748 346-375-11 0.480 389-329-14 0.542
Best Bet (Spread) Best Bet (Over/Under)
Last Week 0-0-1 0.500 0-1-0 0.000
Season 9-5-2 0.625 7-8-1 0.469
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