The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings

2019 Season Ratings

 
 
 

Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings.

Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here.

  
                           Rating  HomeAd
1.    Clemson           108.2542 -2.6378
2.    Ohio St           106.3076  5.4401
3.    Alabama           103.3151  1.5406
4.    LSU               100.8616  3.7588
5.    Georgia            96.3530  2.5011
6.    Wisconsin          94.0002  2.7554
7.    Penn St            93.3704  2.9139
8.    Florida            91.6261  3.9256
9.    Notre Dame         90.9808  2.4480
10.   Auburn             90.8739  4.1650
11.   Oklahoma           90.8503  2.5502
12.   Oregon             90.3627  3.4015
13.   Iowa               89.7953 -0.2000
14.   Michigan           89.0061  7.5201
15.   Utah               88.9904  3.9332
16.   Texas              86.9138  0.2882
17.   Washington         85.7689  2.9915
18.   Baylor             84.7325  1.9500
19.   C Florida          84.5395  0.0141
20.   Texas A&M          83.3880  3.5714
21.   Oklahoma St        82.7714 -0.7327
22.   Minnesota          82.4329  6.0589
23.   Iowa St            82.3735  6.4637
24.   Appalachian St     81.2573 -2.8313
25.   TCU                80.5845  2.1254
26.   Kansas St          80.5217  2.6731
27.   Memphis            79.5304  6.4605
28.   USC                78.5173  5.0825
29.   Michigan St        78.3751 -0.3616
30.   Cincinnati         78.3473  4.9244
31.   Navy               78.2216  2.8947
32.   Kentucky           77.9828  3.4531
33.   Boise St           77.9540  0.9183
34.   Mississippi        77.8693  1.1693
35.   North Carolina     77.5206  2.5433
36.   Virginia Tech      77.1620  1.1704
37.   Virginia           76.7554  2.3526
38.   Indiana            76.5958  3.3407
39.   Florida Atl        76.4063  1.7664
40.   Mississippi St     76.4053  6.8599
41.   Washington St      76.3159  8.3751
42.   Missouri           76.2242  6.2450
43.   Nebraska           75.9905  0.1209
44.   South Carolina     75.9422  1.4979
45.   Air Force          75.6520  5.4193
46.   Tennessee          75.3732  0.0503
47.   California         74.8029 -0.0583
48.   Texas Tech         74.2302  3.6540
49.   Arizona St         73.6933  5.7467
50.   UL Lafayette       73.4829  1.1496
51.   Wake Forest        72.9809  1.0528
52.   West Virginia      72.6423  4.5865
53.   Miami Fl           72.6117  4.9888
54.   Purdue             72.5615  2.2759
55.   SMU                72.1876  3.1869
56.   Northwestern       72.0851 -1.7508
57.   Pittsburgh         71.9298  1.5159
58.   Stanford           71.5995  4.1182
59.   UCLA               71.0646 -1.1956
60.   Florida St         70.9909  2.6666
61.   San Diego St       70.9450  0.5731
62.   Army               70.4150 -4.8292
63.   Boston College     70.3650 -0.0070
64.   Tulane             70.2098  5.5202
65.   Oregon St          70.1003 -2.3082
66.   Louisville         69.7738  2.3105
67.   Syracuse           69.6406  0.4063
68.   Duke               69.6227 -4.3997
69.   Ohio               69.6202 -0.4575
70.   Wyoming            69.5554  2.4576
71.   Illinois           69.5088  0.5404
72.   Utah St            69.4404  3.3194
73.   Fresno St          68.9596  2.8754
74.   Tulsa              68.7959 -0.6020
75.   Houston            68.5882  4.4664
76.   Temple             68.1079  3.0742
77.   Colorado           67.6886  4.6576
78.   W Kentucky         67.0507  2.6523
79.   Louisiana Tech     67.0276  1.9736
80.   Maryland           66.2148 -0.7818
81.   Buffalo            66.0286  8.5143
82.   Marshall           65.9964  1.9373
83.   Hawaii             65.8831  2.1927
84.   BYU                65.5973  2.9952
85.   Arizona            64.9406  6.6697
86.   Kansas             64.9164  0.5602
87.   Arkansas           64.8314 -2.5188
88.   Middle Tenn St     64.4421  8.8094
89.   Southern Miss      64.1950  1.2329
90.   W Michigan         63.8021  5.4881
91.   NC State           63.4340  4.9177
92.   E Michigan         62.7891 -2.1666
93.   Georgia So         62.5593  7.7048
94.   Georgia Tech       62.2762  1.8728
95.   Ball St            62.1613  1.7388
96.   Vanderbilt         61.6050  2.7640
97.   Miami Oh           61.5137  3.4683
98.   Arkansas St        60.8832  3.8172
99.   South Florida      60.8445 -1.4536
100.  Troy               60.2608 -0.0957
101.  San Jose St        59.2462  1.8593
102.  Florida Intl       59.1559  5.8212
103.  C Michigan         59.1348  5.3604
104.  UAB                59.0743 11.6225
105.  Colorado St        58.9215  4.4561
106.  North Texas        58.6834  8.5128
107.  C Carolina         58.3585 -5.4120
108.  Kent St            58.2803  3.8343
109.  N Illinois         58.0175  6.0180
110.  UL Monroe          57.1342  2.2688
111.  Charlotte          56.9013  5.4497
112.  UNLV               56.5499 -3.9300
113.  Liberty            56.3837  5.8067
114.  Georgia St         56.3451  1.3773
115.  Nevada             55.9437  3.5332
116.  Toledo             54.8733  6.2891
117.  Rice               54.1903 -0.3354
118.  East Carolina      52.1955  6.2183
119.  Rutgers            51.4602  2.8343
120.  New Mexico         51.3334  1.0202
121.  Old Dominion       51.2030 -0.3945
122.  UTSA               49.6177 -0.4644
123.  Idaho              48.1631  2.9034
124.  S Alabama          47.9592  4.7533
125.  Texas St           47.2035  1.2043
126.  New Mexico St      44.9471  4.9632
127.  Connecticut        43.6142  2.5150
128.  Texas-El Paso      42.6499  1.4157
129.  Bowling Green      40.8251  2.3881
130.  Akron              37.3807  0.1819
131.  Massachusetts      33.4273  1.6006


2019 Ratings including games through 1/6/20.



Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here.

Email:mailto:edwardkambour@sbcglobal.net

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