The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2018 Season Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
1. Alabama 105.5285 1.5293
2. Clemson 100.7165 -3.6736
3. Ohio St 96.3316 2.5646
4. Oklahoma 95.0027 1.7889
5. Georgia 94.5841 3.7251
6. Penn St 94.1133 2.6615
7. Michigan 89.0591 5.9246
8. LSU 88.8360 4.6952
9. Wisconsin 87.8760 0.6347
10. Notre Dame 87.6612 2.3565
11. Washington 87.2300 4.8091
12. Iowa 87.1753 3.0783
13. Texas 85.7861 -0.0312
14. Utah 85.4214 -0.9608
15. C Florida 85.1112 1.7246
16. TCU 84.6852 1.1147
17. Mississippi St 84.2689 4.2714
18. Auburn 83.6641 5.3356
19. Florida 83.6199 2.3199
20. Texas A&M 83.4110 3.5259
21. Duke 83.3098 -0.0741
22. NC State 83.2624 2.0404
23. West Virginia 82.9811 4.1638
24. Oklahoma St 82.9724 -0.6115
25. Appalachian St 82.7217 0.5395
26. Miami Fl 82.6422 4.1129
27. Stanford 82.1139 4.4891
28. South Carolina 81.4725 -2.5998
29. Michigan St 81.2810 0.8393
30. Kentucky 80.9385 4.7038
31. Purdue 80.8525 -2.0670
32. Virginia Tech 80.6603 4.8902
33. Iowa St 80.4205 7.3338
34. Boise St 80.0979 -0.9015
35. Texas Tech 79.8357 -0.0562
36. Fresno St 79.8043 6.6548
37. Army 79.5756 -5.3354
38. Washington St 78.6464 7.8735
39. Boston College 78.5084 0.8187
40. Missouri 78.4856 1.8788
41. Northwestern 77.8728 0.7067
42. Maryland 77.5721 -1.3999
43. USC 77.4994 5.3100
44. Oregon 76.5717 2.1572
45. Georgia Tech 76.4865 5.2527
46. Colorado 76.3737 5.4177
47. Syracuse 76.2631 2.0919
48. Temple 76.1283 1.0061
49. Arizona St 76.0749 5.8024
50. San Diego St 75.9801 -0.3960
51. Kansas St 75.8708 2.5980
52. Vanderbilt 74.3033 0.6862
53. Florida St 74.2854 3.1460
54. Utah St 74.2608 3.7842
55. Mississippi 74.0150 1.7848
56. Houston 73.8282 5.1707
57. UCLA 72.6875 0.0631
58. Minnesota 72.6705 5.2101
59. Memphis 72.6685 6.1244
60. Virginia 72.3974 5.2438
61. South Florida 72.3336 4.6924
62. Baylor 72.3229 2.3877
63. Pittsburgh 72.0062 0.6080
64. Indiana 71.4216 3.5211
65. Wake Forest 71.2994 0.4016
66. Cincinnati 71.0943 1.1326
67. Tennessee 70.8750 -1.0313
68. North Texas 68.5758 6.6731
69. Louisville 68.3847 2.8908
70. Toledo 67.8673 2.5419
71. Nebraska 67.8015 0.9747
72. BYU 67.7286 1.2853
73. Louisiana Tech 67.4200 -1.7766
74. Arkansas 67.2705 -1.5211
75. Air Force 67.0825 4.7805
76. Troy 67.0112 -1.5867
77. Florida Atl 66.9958 3.5155
78. Arizona 66.8440 4.9335
79. E Michigan 66.5832 0.8455
80. Tulsa 66.3854 -1.4874
81. W Michigan 65.3131 2.5593
82. Marshall 65.1754 0.8055
83. Ohio 65.1537 4.5772
84. Navy 64.9837 3.7672
85. N Illinois 64.9523 5.5490
86. California 64.8431 4.4554
87. Buffalo 64.2502 7.4406
88. North Carolina 63.2343 4.0724
89. Arkansas St 63.1723 3.8823
90. Tulane 62.8752 6.0238
91. Wyoming 62.7929 1.2080
92. UAB 61.9662 8.0962
93. Kansas 61.9097 5.0774
94. SMU 61.8779 2.4823
95. Southern Miss 61.5842 -1.8160
96. Florida Intl 61.5347 5.3375
97. Miami Oh 61.1616 2.6556
98. C Michigan 60.6526 -1.9968
99. Middle Tenn St 60.5865 4.4198
100. Georgia So 60.2798 6.5907
101. New Mexico 60.2278 2.3958
102. Colorado St 60.1278 4.5178
103. Nevada 59.5293 3.9573
104. Illinois 59.4616 -0.9122
105. UNLV 58.5288 -4.9038
106. Akron 57.9204 1.9663
107. Hawaii 57.0471 4.7731
108. Georgia St 56.5809 -4.0399
109. W Kentucky 56.2492 4.5061
110. UL Lafayette 55.6587 -0.7633
111. Oregon St 55.2889 4.2590
112. East Carolina 54.9084 5.7674
113. UTSA 54.6139 -2.3650
114. Ball St 54.1923 -1.2233
115. Liberty 54.1608 7.1925
116. Massachusetts 54.0337 2.9260
117. UL Monroe 52.2425 0.0819
118. Bowling Green 52.0862 -0.5763
119. Old Dominion 51.3377 4.3598
120. Idaho 50.2528 2.8357
121. C Carolina 50.1482 4.0367
122. Rutgers 50.0533 3.3031
123. S Alabama 49.0604 3.8799
124. Charlotte 48.1798 3.2096
125. New Mexico St 46.4170 4.8002
126. San Jose St 46.0079 2.5365
127. Kent St 45.9031 2.6303
128. Connecticut 45.4795 1.5879
129. Rice 42.2773 -0.5239
130. Texas St 40.9915 2.9394
131. Texas-El Paso 40.9551 4.0832
2018 Ratings (including games through Oct 13).
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |