The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2016 Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
Alabama 102.5561 3.2485
Ohio St 101.9400 0.6896
Stanford 91.6096 3.0040
Oklahoma 89.8501 0.4723
Clemson 88.5974 -0.3056
Mississippi 87.5269 3.5076
Arkansas 87.1738 -1.4085
Michigan 87.0504 3.8103
Oregon 86.5586 -1.3085
Louisville 86.4884 2.5809
Baylor 86.4404 4.1003
Houston 86.3860 0.6576
Michigan St 85.9687 3.3977
Washington 85.4502 4.1664
Texas A&M 85.2060 1.2079
TCU 84.6126 5.0530
Georgia 84.1181 3.5262
LSU 83.9608 3.6741
Florida 83.9147 -1.2159
Iowa 83.8961 0.3605
Tennessee 83.6944 2.8741
Wisconsin 83.1954 2.8879
UCLA 82.8645 -2.1267
West Virginia 82.5910 4.2177
Utah 82.2834 -0.9874
Notre Dame 82.1157 4.9424
USC 82.0160 5.3194
Boise St 81.8426 1.3128
Auburn 81.6646 1.5721
Florida St 81.6337 6.2435
Nebraska 81.3394 2.3536
North Carolina 81.1241 6.0213
Virginia Tech 81.0525 1.7423
Mississippi St 81.0349 2.0426
Washington St 80.0306 2.1718
Kansas St 79.1699 2.6170
Oklahoma St 78.4144 1.5759
Georgia Tech 77.6919 6.0970
Miami Fl 77.6670 3.9068
Toledo 77.3254 2.8046
BYU 76.4348 4.9310
Memphis 76.1299 4.9840
Pittsburgh 75.9198 1.0308
Missouri 75.7501 -0.1701
South Florida 75.7184 4.4615
California 75.6273 4.4720
Texas 75.3685 1.4099
Arizona St 75.2318 5.7017
Texas Tech 75.2221 2.0665
NC State 74.9395 0.0521
San Diego St 74.7984 3.4148
W Kentucky 74.3898 3.8233
South Carolina 73.8374 -0.0572
W Michigan 73.6494 2.2261
Navy 72.5885 5.4844
Northwestern 72.3230 3.8607
Arizona 71.4909 3.7504
Colorado 71.1146 3.0326
Penn St 71.1009 5.2534
Air Force 70.9880 7.5027
East Carolina 70.3798 2.8041
Appalachian St 70.1510 -3.0724
Louisiana Tech 69.9290 5.0740
Duke 69.7148 -0.2306
Southern Miss 68.6884 -1.2636
Virginia 68.6148 4.1756
Minnesota 68.5597 4.5505
Indiana 68.5556 4.3145
Maryland 68.0230 1.5993
Temple 67.9202 4.8881
Cincinnati 67.7500 6.1339
C Michigan 67.6773 4.9561
Vanderbilt 67.1000 1.3845
Tulsa 66.3765 -1.2217
Georgia So 66.1521 4.0370
Boston College 66.1165 1.1070
Army 65.8887 0.3695
Utah St 65.2919 2.2235
Middle Tenn St 65.0257 5.1169
Bowling Green 64.6338 2.6020
Marshall 64.5358 5.3288
Connecticut 64.4243 3.9435
Syracuse 64.2741 0.1626
Nevada 63.2807 1.9464
Wake Forest 63.1373 5.3555
Iowa St 62.9062 7.4799
Troy 61.9765 1.3764
Oregon St 61.8235 0.7311
Purdue 61.5834 -2.6608
Ohio 61.1828 4.8299
Rutgers 60.9887 3.7079
N Illinois 60.8401 2.5072
Illinois 60.7282 4.7758
Akron 60.6561 3.6663
Kentucky 59.9501 6.7511
UAB 59.9439 6.5940
Georgia St 59.1462 -9.0641
Arkansas St 58.8906 6.3248
Colorado St 57.8606 5.1327
Ball St 56.7390 -0.9507
UTSA 56.4394 -1.7796
San Jose St 56.1854 3.7496
New Mexico 56.1743 1.2247
S Alabama 55.7532 -0.6168
Wyoming 55.5734 -2.3633
SMU 55.1297 1.5493
UNLV 54.9334 -0.6270
Massachusetts 54.2210 0.2953
UL Lafayette 54.1567 -1.9597
C Florida 53.6324 0.3025
Tulane 53.1983 2.2355
Fresno St 53.0178 2.3269
Buffalo 51.6452 9.2877
Rice 51.5152 1.5848
Texas St 51.1141 1.6386
Miami Oh 50.6723 3.5973
UL Monroe 50.3418 -2.7190
Florida Atl 49.6348 3.9946
Florida Intl 49.6308 2.3716
Old Dominion 48.4697 -2.2273
Kent St 48.3023 1.3455
Hawaii 47.7488 2.8002
Kansas 46.7662 3.8046
Idaho 46.4288 2.6559
E Michigan 45.0636 0.6671
North Texas 44.2083 5.5016
New Mexico St 44.1648 2.0663
Texas-El Paso 43.6188 4.1324
Charlotte 35.7388 3.3628
Ratings include games through Sept 17, 2016.
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |