The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2021 Season Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
1. Georgia 104.10140 2.88764003
2. Alabama 100.14316 2.69674948
3. Ohio St 99.86520 2.38667799
4. Oklahoma St 92.90216 0.49007139
5. Notre Dame 91.32282 1.13787699
6. Wisconsin 90.79731 0.62915119
7. Michigan 90.43847 3.12928576
8. Penn St 87.75398 2.10348919
9. Clemson 87.71233 -2.88128027
10. Cincinnati 87.31571 5.54898047
11. Iowa St 86.97021 6.46420599
12. Iowa 86.85510 0.19806092
13. Utah 86.70961 4.53687809
14. Texas A&M 86.41951 3.33932367
15. Tennessee 85.52847 -0.12434173
16. Oklahoma 85.48347 2.28126767
17. Mississippi 84.46617 1.79914737
18. Baylor 83.88633 2.97201243
19. Boise St 82.62538 0.57111343
20. Purdue 82.51876 0.28589283
21. Arkansas 82.21572 -0.91037528
22. UCLA 81.89745 0.46921617
23. Texas 81.84831 2.41578627
24. Minnesota 81.63547 -0.14390274
25. Oregon 81.40749 3.40023086
26. Pittsburgh 81.11056 0.74574046
27. Arizona St 80.66195 3.28519730
28. Nebraska 80.59140 3.03574153
29. Wake Forest 80.54551 2.82085969
30. Auburn 80.54382 4.46196481
31. NC State 80.28741 4.64764680
32. Appalachian St 79.81340 -0.59281431
33. BYU 79.79512 3.34808991
34. Kansas St 79.54997 2.67461818
35. Florida 79.18526 4.56040003
36. Michigan St 79.10140 1.77836353
37. C Carolina 79.07139 -2.06860242
38. Mississippi St 78.78248 2.17129479
39. LSU 78.00461 2.58941670
40. Oregon St 77.98795 2.21130196
41. UL Lafayette 77.98595 2.92226187
42. Kentucky 77.93119 5.51367991
43. Louisville 77.60716 4.98693125
44. Air Force 76.42600 4.06924011
45. USC 76.37342 0.71332059
46. Washington 76.30962 3.03496620
47. North Carolina 76.03899 4.63934992
48. Houston 75.26517 2.95552132
49. Washington St 75.26058 2.47489474
50. Miami Fl 74.95847 2.80587117
51. California 74.22389 2.69030882
52. Virginia 74.18358 2.59480907
53. San Diego St 74.08121 1.47220818
54. West Virginia 73.81550 5.55025194
55. C Florida 73.47797 1.24549000
56. Marshall 73.27206 0.34711165
57. Fresno St 73.19327 1.93852328
58. Army 73.10491 -0.97913830
59. Tulsa 72.94236 -3.81457065
60. SMU 72.78699 4.34344251
61. Texas Tech 72.28916 2.01609496
62. UTSA 72.25287 0.33500362
63. South Carolina 72.13638 1.80122202
64. Illinois 71.96555 0.16987203
65. TCU 71.86895 2.23897906
66. Nevada 71.71461 4.29095811
67. Florida St 71.56266 4.35343821
68. Virginia Tech 71.16284 4.34649065
69. Rutgers 71.04639 -0.49727783
70. Liberty 70.61527 2.94283172
71. W Kentucky 69.31849 2.89301723
72. Boston College 69.21264 1.55171848
73. Syracuse 68.89479 1.60803219
74. UAB 68.68133 4.24867544
75. East Carolina 68.31143 5.41271415
76. Toledo 68.25687 2.59365601
77. Indiana 68.10242 1.17018154
78. Northwestern 68.08672 3.79563494
79. Stanford 67.76110 1.23739910
80. Missouri 67.57173 5.77199604
81. Wyoming 67.20250 1.56311321
82. Utah St 67.10844 -0.79950400
83. Georgia St 66.89236 -4.55386121
84. Colorado 66.67235 4.40426509
85. Maryland 66.33049 1.07593834
86. Colorado St 65.97158 4.39366547
87. Miami Oh 64.54997 5.05237687
88. C Michigan 64.34301 1.77183061
89. Tulane 64.27502 5.13713326
90. E Michigan 64.16011 -0.84318003
91. W Michigan 63.62750 2.09080197
92. Memphis 63.58592 6.45898699
93. Georgia Tech 63.42853 1.41805174
94. Ball St 63.04906 0.44142696
95. Navy 62.26420 0.90849639
96. Florida Atl 60.83314 4.91407959
97. San Jose St 60.60515 1.81446466
98. Arizona 60.37100 5.26537904
99. Troy 60.17582 0.05798053
100. N Illinois 59.87211 3.11225328
101. Hawaii 59.40557 3.59912529
102. UNLV 58.97288 -2.04736115
103. Ohio 57.99848 1.27496649
104. Kent St 57.81743 3.87561600
105. Buffalo 57.79537 6.49989861
106. Louisiana Tech 57.57461 1.66236499
107. Old Dominion 57.38681 0.63466770
108. Texas-El Paso 57.18235 2.22822885
109. S Alabama 57.09032 4.40729128
110. South Florida 56.97409 2.75739214
111. Vanderbilt 56.97033 -2.03250911
112. Middle Tenn St 56.92505 7.06218199
113. North Texas 55.94825 2.39594405
114. Georgia So 55.34342 7.93512490
115. Kansas 54.74808 1.29861217
116. Duke 54.67816 -0.05961867
117. Arkansas St 52.58429 3.70334363
118. Charlotte 52.07089 3.20701500
119. Texas St 52.00116 2.54957729
120. New Mexico 51.24694 1.63613179
121. Rice 50.99255 -0.55040232
122. UL Monroe 49.97152 3.05033325
123. Southern Miss 49.30864 -2.24161142
124. Bowling Green 47.12290 0.33447899
125. New Mexico St 45.80842 2.26528616
126. Temple 43.44787 1.91037340
127. Akron 42.51346 -1.53502321
128. Florida Intl 41.19435 2.62817003
129. Connecticut 39.88171 2.32941825
130. Idaho 38.64783 4.25548114
131. Massachusetts 37.17532 2.98692331
2021 ratings include games results through 11/20/21.
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |