The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings

2018 Final Season Ratings

 
 
 

Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings.

Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here.

  
                          Rating  HomeAd
1.    Clemson           108.7651 -3.4634
2.    Alabama           105.6761  3.8782
3.    Georgia            95.9551  3.0737
4.    Oklahoma           94.0608  1.1865
5.    Ohio St            91.6058  4.6419
6.    Iowa               89.1213  0.8782
7.    Notre Dame         88.8402  2.7311
8.    Auburn             88.3641  4.1943
9.    Penn St            88.2391  6.0394
10.   Mississippi St     88.0135  6.9947
11.   Michigan           87.9274  7.3554
12.   Florida            87.2997 -0.3914
13.   Texas A&M          86.9543  2.4601
14.   LSU                86.9324  4.0519
15.   Washington         86.8022  3.3539
16.   Texas              86.0570 -0.6291
17.   Missouri           85.6001  2.0218
18.   C Florida          85.5085  1.8236
19.   Wisconsin          85.3245 -1.6098
20.   Utah               84.2402 -0.8602
21.   West Virginia      84.0972  7.8954
22.   Oklahoma St        83.5139 -0.6814
23.   Stanford           81.8391  3.4856
24.   Kentucky           81.6399  2.9492
25.   Boise St           81.5323 -0.9308
26.   Fresno St          81.4593  4.2864
27.   Washington St      81.3847  6.7748
28.   Army               80.6613 -6.8746
29.   NC State           80.4915  4.0100
30.   Northwestern       80.0742 -0.1504
31.   Iowa St            79.9059  6.7717
32.   Syracuse           79.7642  1.3490
33.   Michigan St        79.7095 -0.6677
34.   Duke               79.4532 -4.7811
35.   Miami Fl           79.3959  5.7812
36.   TCU                79.3136  1.6986
37.   South Carolina     79.2725 -0.5581
38.   Appalachian St     79.0121 -0.0729
39.   Boston College     78.6558  0.2343
40.   Utah St            78.1748  3.3974
41.   Purdue             77.4548  3.5234
42.   Texas Tech         76.8508  2.0056
43.   Oregon             76.7925  3.5645
44.   Virginia           76.7802  1.7483
45.   Pittsburgh         76.7367  1.1642
46.   Vanderbilt         76.6588  1.9233
47.   Kansas St          76.3933  2.5549
48.   Temple             76.0547  0.4466
49.   Wake Forest        75.9875 -2.6312
50.   Ohio               75.2202  4.9800
51.   Arizona St         74.9231  6.1317
52.   Georgia Tech       74.7505  6.9656
53.   USC                74.5500  4.9874
54.   Maryland           74.4745  0.5489
55.   Cincinnati         74.2033  5.5362
56.   Minnesota          73.8810  6.7184
57.   Indiana            73.6546  2.4111
58.   Nebraska           73.2874  0.9669
59.   California         72.9542  3.2654
60.   Virginia Tech      72.8819  3.4555
61.   Mississippi        72.6930  1.1839
62.   Memphis            72.6199  6.6238
63.   Baylor             72.2912  3.1323
64.   BYU                71.6103  0.9995
65.   UCLA               71.2784  0.3950
66.   Tennessee          70.8649  0.4467
67.   Florida St         70.8092  3.6025
68.   Colorado           70.5224  2.2085
69.   Troy               69.1015 -2.8034
70.   San Diego St       68.4345 -1.0550
71.   Houston            68.1694  7.7380
72.   Marshall           67.6872  3.0353
73.   Toledo             67.5889  3.7891
74.   Arizona            67.4301  8.2309
75.   Wyoming            67.3113  0.8305
76.   Florida Atl        66.4385  1.0281
77.   North Carolina     65.6582  3.6145
78.   Arkansas           65.6404  1.0400
79.   E Michigan         65.4956  1.6138
80.   Buffalo            65.3742  7.4139
81.   Air Force          65.3040  5.3470
82.   UAB                65.1433  9.2982
83.   Arkansas St        64.9366  3.6388
84.   Tulane             64.8244  3.4788
85.   South Florida      64.5646  0.6802
86.   Louisiana Tech     64.1435 -3.9847
87.   Southern Miss      64.1261 -1.0458
88.   Middle Tenn St     64.0977  5.2737
89.   Kansas             64.0408  5.2485
90.   Florida Intl       64.0118  2.1779
91.   Miami Oh           63.9898  2.2007
92.   Navy               63.6836  3.2669
93.   N Illinois         63.3894  6.7272
94.   Georgia So         63.2889  7.0225
95.   Nevada             63.1063  5.7307
96.   North Texas        62.7131  8.4310
97.   SMU                62.4919  2.5126
98.   Tulsa              61.7145 -0.0213
99.   Louisville         61.4213  0.6956
100.  W Michigan         60.6922  0.5813
101.  UL Lafayette       59.2246 -0.2260
102.  Illinois           58.8596 -0.8675
103.  UNLV               57.4987 -4.6233
104.  Colorado St        56.9960  5.3769
105.  Oregon St          56.6627  0.1533
106.  Hawaii             56.5910  2.6028
107.  UL Monroe          56.0819  1.2092
108.  Rutgers            55.7545  3.1014
109.  Akron              54.9178  1.4824
110.  New Mexico         54.7718  0.5967
111.  C Michigan         54.6441 -2.4459
112.  W Kentucky         54.3653  3.4312
113.  Massachusetts      54.3230  0.8597
114.  Georgia St         53.7242 -5.3153
115.  Charlotte          53.0809  1.9378
116.  Bowling Green      52.9368 -2.9854
117.  San Jose St        51.0339  2.1676
118.  Ball St            50.8956  0.0482
119.  Liberty            50.8035  7.1408
120.  C Carolina         50.5197  1.1553
121.  UTSA               50.2714 -1.7958
122.  East Carolina      50.0163  8.0650
123.  Old Dominion       48.9903  4.2473
124.  S Alabama          47.8095  3.3170
125.  Idaho              47.5768  3.2366
126.  Kent St            47.1529  3.9672
127.  New Mexico St      45.9083  4.3992
128.  Texas St           45.3126  1.7263
129.  Rice               44.7477 -0.8797
130.  Connecticut        43.8109  1.6612
131.  Texas-El Paso      40.8862  2.7630


2018 Ratings (Including all games).



Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here.

Email:mailto:edwardkambour@sbcglobal.net

Back to Ed and Theresa's Homepage