The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2018 Final Season Ratings |
Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd 1. Clemson 108.7651 -3.4634 2. Alabama 105.6761 3.8782 3. Georgia 95.9551 3.0737 4. Oklahoma 94.0608 1.1865 5. Ohio St 91.6058 4.6419 6. Iowa 89.1213 0.8782 7. Notre Dame 88.8402 2.7311 8. Auburn 88.3641 4.1943 9. Penn St 88.2391 6.0394 10. Mississippi St 88.0135 6.9947 11. Michigan 87.9274 7.3554 12. Florida 87.2997 -0.3914 13. Texas A&M 86.9543 2.4601 14. LSU 86.9324 4.0519 15. Washington 86.8022 3.3539 16. Texas 86.0570 -0.6291 17. Missouri 85.6001 2.0218 18. C Florida 85.5085 1.8236 19. Wisconsin 85.3245 -1.6098 20. Utah 84.2402 -0.8602 21. West Virginia 84.0972 7.8954 22. Oklahoma St 83.5139 -0.6814 23. Stanford 81.8391 3.4856 24. Kentucky 81.6399 2.9492 25. Boise St 81.5323 -0.9308 26. Fresno St 81.4593 4.2864 27. Washington St 81.3847 6.7748 28. Army 80.6613 -6.8746 29. NC State 80.4915 4.0100 30. Northwestern 80.0742 -0.1504 31. Iowa St 79.9059 6.7717 32. Syracuse 79.7642 1.3490 33. Michigan St 79.7095 -0.6677 34. Duke 79.4532 -4.7811 35. Miami Fl 79.3959 5.7812 36. TCU 79.3136 1.6986 37. South Carolina 79.2725 -0.5581 38. Appalachian St 79.0121 -0.0729 39. Boston College 78.6558 0.2343 40. Utah St 78.1748 3.3974 41. Purdue 77.4548 3.5234 42. Texas Tech 76.8508 2.0056 43. Oregon 76.7925 3.5645 44. Virginia 76.7802 1.7483 45. Pittsburgh 76.7367 1.1642 46. Vanderbilt 76.6588 1.9233 47. Kansas St 76.3933 2.5549 48. Temple 76.0547 0.4466 49. Wake Forest 75.9875 -2.6312 50. Ohio 75.2202 4.9800 51. Arizona St 74.9231 6.1317 52. Georgia Tech 74.7505 6.9656 53. USC 74.5500 4.9874 54. Maryland 74.4745 0.5489 55. Cincinnati 74.2033 5.5362 56. Minnesota 73.8810 6.7184 57. Indiana 73.6546 2.4111 58. Nebraska 73.2874 0.9669 59. California 72.9542 3.2654 60. Virginia Tech 72.8819 3.4555 61. Mississippi 72.6930 1.1839 62. Memphis 72.6199 6.6238 63. Baylor 72.2912 3.1323 64. BYU 71.6103 0.9995 65. UCLA 71.2784 0.3950 66. Tennessee 70.8649 0.4467 67. Florida St 70.8092 3.6025 68. Colorado 70.5224 2.2085 69. Troy 69.1015 -2.8034 70. San Diego St 68.4345 -1.0550 71. Houston 68.1694 7.7380 72. Marshall 67.6872 3.0353 73. Toledo 67.5889 3.7891 74. Arizona 67.4301 8.2309 75. Wyoming 67.3113 0.8305 76. Florida Atl 66.4385 1.0281 77. North Carolina 65.6582 3.6145 78. Arkansas 65.6404 1.0400 79. E Michigan 65.4956 1.6138 80. Buffalo 65.3742 7.4139 81. Air Force 65.3040 5.3470 82. UAB 65.1433 9.2982 83. Arkansas St 64.9366 3.6388 84. Tulane 64.8244 3.4788 85. South Florida 64.5646 0.6802 86. Louisiana Tech 64.1435 -3.9847 87. Southern Miss 64.1261 -1.0458 88. Middle Tenn St 64.0977 5.2737 89. Kansas 64.0408 5.2485 90. Florida Intl 64.0118 2.1779 91. Miami Oh 63.9898 2.2007 92. Navy 63.6836 3.2669 93. N Illinois 63.3894 6.7272 94. Georgia So 63.2889 7.0225 95. Nevada 63.1063 5.7307 96. North Texas 62.7131 8.4310 97. SMU 62.4919 2.5126 98. Tulsa 61.7145 -0.0213 99. Louisville 61.4213 0.6956 100. W Michigan 60.6922 0.5813 101. UL Lafayette 59.2246 -0.2260 102. Illinois 58.8596 -0.8675 103. UNLV 57.4987 -4.6233 104. Colorado St 56.9960 5.3769 105. Oregon St 56.6627 0.1533 106. Hawaii 56.5910 2.6028 107. UL Monroe 56.0819 1.2092 108. Rutgers 55.7545 3.1014 109. Akron 54.9178 1.4824 110. New Mexico 54.7718 0.5967 111. C Michigan 54.6441 -2.4459 112. W Kentucky 54.3653 3.4312 113. Massachusetts 54.3230 0.8597 114. Georgia St 53.7242 -5.3153 115. Charlotte 53.0809 1.9378 116. Bowling Green 52.9368 -2.9854 117. San Jose St 51.0339 2.1676 118. Ball St 50.8956 0.0482 119. Liberty 50.8035 7.1408 120. C Carolina 50.5197 1.1553 121. UTSA 50.2714 -1.7958 122. East Carolina 50.0163 8.0650 123. Old Dominion 48.9903 4.2473 124. S Alabama 47.8095 3.3170 125. Idaho 47.5768 3.2366 126. Kent St 47.1529 3.9672 127. New Mexico St 45.9083 4.3992 128. Texas St 45.3126 1.7263 129. Rice 44.7477 -0.8797 130. Connecticut 43.8109 1.6612 131. Texas-El Paso 40.8862 2.7630 2018 Ratings (Including all games). |
Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |