The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2019 Season Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
1. Clemson 108.2542 -2.6378
2. Ohio St 106.3076 5.4401
3. Alabama 103.3151 1.5406
4. LSU 100.8616 3.7588
5. Georgia 96.3530 2.5011
6. Wisconsin 94.0002 2.7554
7. Penn St 93.3704 2.9139
8. Florida 91.6261 3.9256
9. Notre Dame 90.9808 2.4480
10. Auburn 90.8739 4.1650
11. Oklahoma 90.8503 2.5502
12. Oregon 90.3627 3.4015
13. Iowa 89.7953 -0.2000
14. Michigan 89.0061 7.5201
15. Utah 88.9904 3.9332
16. Texas 86.9138 0.2882
17. Washington 85.7689 2.9915
18. Baylor 84.7325 1.9500
19. C Florida 84.5395 0.0141
20. Texas A&M 83.3880 3.5714
21. Oklahoma St 82.7714 -0.7327
22. Minnesota 82.4329 6.0589
23. Iowa St 82.3735 6.4637
24. Appalachian St 81.2573 -2.8313
25. TCU 80.5845 2.1254
26. Kansas St 80.5217 2.6731
27. Memphis 79.5304 6.4605
28. USC 78.5173 5.0825
29. Michigan St 78.3751 -0.3616
30. Cincinnati 78.3473 4.9244
31. Navy 78.2216 2.8947
32. Kentucky 77.9828 3.4531
33. Boise St 77.9540 0.9183
34. Mississippi 77.8693 1.1693
35. North Carolina 77.5206 2.5433
36. Virginia Tech 77.1620 1.1704
37. Virginia 76.7554 2.3526
38. Indiana 76.5958 3.3407
39. Florida Atl 76.4063 1.7664
40. Mississippi St 76.4053 6.8599
41. Washington St 76.3159 8.3751
42. Missouri 76.2242 6.2450
43. Nebraska 75.9905 0.1209
44. South Carolina 75.9422 1.4979
45. Air Force 75.6520 5.4193
46. Tennessee 75.3732 0.0503
47. California 74.8029 -0.0583
48. Texas Tech 74.2302 3.6540
49. Arizona St 73.6933 5.7467
50. UL Lafayette 73.4829 1.1496
51. Wake Forest 72.9809 1.0528
52. West Virginia 72.6423 4.5865
53. Miami Fl 72.6117 4.9888
54. Purdue 72.5615 2.2759
55. SMU 72.1876 3.1869
56. Northwestern 72.0851 -1.7508
57. Pittsburgh 71.9298 1.5159
58. Stanford 71.5995 4.1182
59. UCLA 71.0646 -1.1956
60. Florida St 70.9909 2.6666
61. San Diego St 70.9450 0.5731
62. Army 70.4150 -4.8292
63. Boston College 70.3650 -0.0070
64. Tulane 70.2098 5.5202
65. Oregon St 70.1003 -2.3082
66. Louisville 69.7738 2.3105
67. Syracuse 69.6406 0.4063
68. Duke 69.6227 -4.3997
69. Ohio 69.6202 -0.4575
70. Wyoming 69.5554 2.4576
71. Illinois 69.5088 0.5404
72. Utah St 69.4404 3.3194
73. Fresno St 68.9596 2.8754
74. Tulsa 68.7959 -0.6020
75. Houston 68.5882 4.4664
76. Temple 68.1079 3.0742
77. Colorado 67.6886 4.6576
78. W Kentucky 67.0507 2.6523
79. Louisiana Tech 67.0276 1.9736
80. Maryland 66.2148 -0.7818
81. Buffalo 66.0286 8.5143
82. Marshall 65.9964 1.9373
83. Hawaii 65.8831 2.1927
84. BYU 65.5973 2.9952
85. Arizona 64.9406 6.6697
86. Kansas 64.9164 0.5602
87. Arkansas 64.8314 -2.5188
88. Middle Tenn St 64.4421 8.8094
89. Southern Miss 64.1950 1.2329
90. W Michigan 63.8021 5.4881
91. NC State 63.4340 4.9177
92. E Michigan 62.7891 -2.1666
93. Georgia So 62.5593 7.7048
94. Georgia Tech 62.2762 1.8728
95. Ball St 62.1613 1.7388
96. Vanderbilt 61.6050 2.7640
97. Miami Oh 61.5137 3.4683
98. Arkansas St 60.8832 3.8172
99. South Florida 60.8445 -1.4536
100. Troy 60.2608 -0.0957
101. San Jose St 59.2462 1.8593
102. Florida Intl 59.1559 5.8212
103. C Michigan 59.1348 5.3604
104. UAB 59.0743 11.6225
105. Colorado St 58.9215 4.4561
106. North Texas 58.6834 8.5128
107. C Carolina 58.3585 -5.4120
108. Kent St 58.2803 3.8343
109. N Illinois 58.0175 6.0180
110. UL Monroe 57.1342 2.2688
111. Charlotte 56.9013 5.4497
112. UNLV 56.5499 -3.9300
113. Liberty 56.3837 5.8067
114. Georgia St 56.3451 1.3773
115. Nevada 55.9437 3.5332
116. Toledo 54.8733 6.2891
117. Rice 54.1903 -0.3354
118. East Carolina 52.1955 6.2183
119. Rutgers 51.4602 2.8343
120. New Mexico 51.3334 1.0202
121. Old Dominion 51.2030 -0.3945
122. UTSA 49.6177 -0.4644
123. Idaho 48.1631 2.9034
124. S Alabama 47.9592 4.7533
125. Texas St 47.2035 1.2043
126. New Mexico St 44.9471 4.9632
127. Connecticut 43.6142 2.5150
128. Texas-El Paso 42.6499 1.4157
129. Bowling Green 40.8251 2.3881
130. Akron 37.3807 0.1819
131. Massachusetts 33.4273 1.6006
2019 Ratings including games through 1/6/20.
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |