The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2018 Season Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
1. Alabama 107.6344 2.5336
2. Clemson 105.7829 -2.1495
3. Georgia 97.3136 2.8342
4. Oklahoma 93.4096 1.0788
5. Ohio St 91.6969 4.5768
6. Michigan 90.1423 6.2871
7. Notre Dame 89.7418 2.4546
8. Penn St 88.8647 5.5911
9. Iowa 88.8302 0.7377
10. Mississippi St 87.6998 6.5726
11. Washington 86.9120 3.2474
12. C Florida 86.6685 1.3779
13. LSU 86.5253 3.7838
14. Missouri 86.4907 1.8125
15. West Virginia 85.7634 6.9473
16. Utah 85.7294 -1.4822
17. Auburn 85.1797 5.2818
18. Florida 85.1262 0.7322
19. Texas 84.6755 0.0512
20. Texas A&M 83.6035 3.7525
21. Wisconsin 82.7721 -0.8585
22. NC State 82.7266 2.8201
23. Oklahoma St 82.6260 -0.1029
24. Stanford 82.4774 3.6645
25. South Carolina 82.4090 -2.2464
26. Miami Fl 81.7071 4.4156
27. Washington St 81.5909 6.7129
28. Boise St 81.5293 -1.1576
29. Fresno St 81.2547 4.6260
30. Kentucky 80.8698 3.8299
31. Purdue 80.3405 1.7614
32. Michigan St 80.2529 -0.7504
33. Iowa St 79.6339 7.0416
34. TCU 79.3913 1.4917
35. Boston College 78.8251 0.3268
36. Northwestern 78.7223 0.4771
37. Temple 78.5398 -0.3131
38. Syracuse 78.1292 2.1097
39. Vanderbilt 77.7335 1.7067
40. Appalachian St 77.6042 0.5588
41. Army 77.2319 -5.4698
42. Georgia Tech 77.2170 5.2257
43. Duke 77.1199 -4.3430
44. Texas Tech 76.7856 2.3038
45. Oregon 76.6811 3.6511
46. Utah St 76.2208 4.0673
47. Kansas St 76.2070 2.3415
48. Pittsburgh 76.0929 1.7010
49. Wake Forest 75.7717 -2.8763
50. Arizona St 75.4187 6.1879
51. USC 74.7608 4.9948
52. Maryland 74.4876 0.7869
53. Cincinnati 74.2866 5.5014
54. Virginia 73.6452 3.1459
55. Indiana 73.6391 2.5133
56. Ohio 73.3685 5.7973
57. Nebraska 73.3319 0.9709
58. Memphis 73.0304 6.8242
59. Virginia Tech 72.9904 3.6294
60. California 72.8748 3.3574
61. Mississippi 72.7226 1.0586
62. Houston 71.7953 6.6873
63. Minnesota 71.5150 7.8357
64. Baylor 71.2736 3.0598
65. UCLA 71.2374 0.6065
66. Tennessee 71.2067 0.3027
67. Florida St 70.8781 3.2270
68. San Diego St 70.6766 -1.7851
69. Colorado 70.5807 2.3543
70. BYU 69.9525 1.6919
71. Toledo 68.7324 3.6370
72. Troy 68.6466 -2.8852
73. Arizona 67.8718 7.9591
74. Wyoming 67.2237 0.5404
75. Marshall 66.4971 3.4655
76. Florida Atl 66.3189 1.0102
77. E Michigan 66.2633 1.4348
78. South Florida 66.0793 1.2983
79. Buffalo 65.9762 7.0664
80. North Carolina 65.6394 4.0776
81. Arkansas St 65.3632 3.1756
82. Middle Tenn St 65.2316 4.4861
83. Arkansas 65.1960 1.5955
84. N Illinois 65.0542 6.2731
85. Air Force 65.0417 5.4420
86. Tulane 64.3639 3.7923
87. North Texas 64.2974 7.6064
88. Kansas 64.0167 4.9714
89. Miami Oh 63.9882 2.1504
90. Navy 63.8864 3.8833
91. Southern Miss 63.7977 -1.4158
92. Florida Intl 63.4911 2.3363
93. SMU 63.0061 2.7187
94. UAB 62.9823 10.3009
95. Nevada 62.9286 5.8895
96. Louisiana Tech 62.9012 -3.8712
97. W Michigan 62.5859 -0.2568
98. Georgia So 62.4277 7.6400
99. Tulsa 62.3654 -0.0094
100. Louisville 61.5942 0.7191
101. UL Lafayette 59.8598 -0.5994
102. Illinois 58.8756 -0.9883
103. UNLV 57.5201 -4.5555
104. Hawaii 57.1222 2.6706
105. Oregon St 56.9707 -0.1214
106. Colorado St 56.7536 5.2473
107. Rutgers 55.8051 3.1301
108. UL Monroe 55.6375 1.4334
109. C Michigan 55.2660 -2.6014
110. Akron 55.1012 1.4551
111. New Mexico 54.5661 0.7162
112. Massachusetts 54.3747 0.5987
113. W Kentucky 53.9938 3.5223
114. Georgia St 53.7620 -5.2942
115. Bowling Green 53.2872 -2.9191
116. Charlotte 52.8545 1.8179
117. Ball St 51.2310 0.1153
118. San Jose St 50.8050 1.9870
119. East Carolina 50.8028 8.0049
120. C Carolina 50.5902 0.5381
121. Liberty 50.0033 7.7531
122. UTSA 49.7999 -1.4529
123. Old Dominion 49.0187 4.3623
124. S Alabama 47.7021 3.0435
125. Idaho 47.3492 3.4547
126. Kent St 47.0613 4.1641
127. New Mexico St 45.5568 4.3247
128. Texas St 45.0292 1.8008
129. Rice 44.6140 -0.8557
130. Connecticut 44.2429 1.8384
131. Texas-El Paso 40.7483 2.8911
2018 Ratings (including games through Dec 8).
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |