The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2017 Season Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
1. Alabama 102.8915 2.6356
2. Clemson 98.2312 -1.0972
3. Ohio St 97.6670 2.8688
4. Georgia 94.7069 2.0637
5. Penn St 93.9521 5.3943
6. Wisconsin 93.3826 1.5000
7. Oklahoma 92.9611 0.7193
8. Washington 90.6537 4.3441
9. Auburn 89.3459 7.1471
10. Oklahoma St 88.7487 -0.6861
11. TCU 86.7380 1.4951
12. Notre Dame 86.1465 5.3932
13. Virginia Tech 85.0236 6.8313
14. LSU 85.0034 2.9031
15. Michigan 84.3555 3.4889
16. Stanford 83.5676 4.1929
17. USC 83.3431 4.0535
18. Miami Fl 83.0981 4.6253
19. Iowa 82.7407 3.9904
20. Louisville 82.6836 4.6388
21. Mississippi St 82.4414 3.2982
22. C Florida 82.3893 1.3049
23. Texas 82.2667 -1.4429
24. NC State 81.1953 1.4351
25. Texas A&M 80.2474 1.7967
26. Utah 79.9715 -0.8332
27. Northwestern 79.8002 4.0404
28. Florida St 79.5535 4.7381
29. Michigan St 79.2997 3.5297
30. Kansas St 78.5735 1.0191
31. Boise St 78.5107 -1.8024
32. Wake Forest 78.2615 3.6386
33. Iowa St 78.0323 8.2502
34. South Carolina 77.7796 -2.4270
35. Boston College 77.6094 -1.0925
36. West Virginia 76.8446 3.4063
37. Washington St 76.7763 7.9208
38. Memphis 76.7605 4.6970
39. Georgia Tech 76.0818 6.3219
40. South Florida 75.9794 4.5083
41. Purdue 75.7647 -1.9145
42. Pittsburgh 75.4995 0.9013
43. Duke 75.2480 1.1760
44. Oregon 74.9733 3.0298
45. San Diego St 74.8245 -0.1142
46. Texas Tech 74.6623 0.6508
47. Missouri 73.8432 1.3417
48. Navy 73.4293 1.9572
49. Mississippi 73.1346 3.3718
50. UCLA 72.9528 2.0697
51. Indiana 72.8448 4.1250
52. Florida 72.7976 3.2134
53. Houston 72.1585 4.0393
54. Appalachian St 71.9682 0.6781
55. Arkansas 71.7139 -1.4484
56. Arizona St 71.3996 4.5224
57. California 71.3708 7.2687
58. Arizona 70.7794 5.5658
59. Minnesota 70.6221 3.2770
60. Colorado 69.9255 4.9828
61. W Michigan 69.7780 1.6267
62. Army 69.6799 -4.2793
63. Toledo 69.5869 3.6843
64. Troy 69.4265 -1.3089
65. North Carolina 69.3246 1.7550
66. Temple 69.1978 1.2157
67. Nebraska 69.1723 1.2994
68. Kentucky 69.1097 3.5058
69. Syracuse 68.8548 1.2802
70. Baylor 68.3847 1.9471
71. Tennessee 68.0702 0.5803
72. Florida Atl 68.0374 2.7234
73. Colorado St 67.8540 4.4520
74. Fresno St 67.4699 4.8074
75. Vanderbilt 67.3483 -0.2136
76. Ohio 66.5824 4.1025
77. Virginia 66.2915 2.8311
78. N Illinois 65.8717 5.2057
79. Wyoming 65.5690 1.5337
80. Louisiana Tech 65.3624 0.9976
81. Maryland 65.2030 -0.7151
82. Tulsa 64.6141 -1.0212
83. Arkansas St 64.5602 5.5033
84. Utah St 63.5363 2.3485
85. SMU 62.8399 2.8278
86. Marshall 62.8120 2.4474
87. Air Force 62.7095 4.0098
88. BYU 61.8394 3.6777
89. Southern Miss 61.5195 -1.3722
90. Tulane 61.5013 4.3605
91. UNLV 61.2500 -4.1344
92. E Michigan 61.2319 1.5085
93. C Michigan 60.6138 1.8385
94. UTSA 59.9575 -0.9180
95. Nevada 59.3227 3.5501
96. Massachusetts 59.2685 0.9953
97. W Kentucky 58.9284 3.9685
98. Middle Tenn St 58.2050 4.4196
99. Illinois 57.7483 1.3869
100. Miami Oh 57.5900 1.7624
101. Rutgers 57.2981 2.1504
102. Georgia St 56.4661 -7.0281
103. Cincinnati 55.9309 2.8798
104. Georgia So 55.1698 4.0941
105. Idaho 55.0601 2.3914
106. North Texas 54.9595 6.6719
107. UL Monroe 54.6413 -1.3210
108. New Mexico St 54.5309 4.9505
109. Oregon St 54.0020 5.3078
110. Bowling Green 53.8199 -0.4246
111. Buffalo 53.6478 10.2825
112. Connecticut 53.6071 2.3211
113. East Carolina 53.2899 4.5044
114. Florida Intl 53.2212 5.3975
115. Akron 52.7637 4.2744
116. UAB 52.5356 8.2820
117. New Mexico 52.5096 5.3188
118. UL Lafayette 52.4933 -1.3168
119. S Alabama 51.7622 2.7534
120. Old Dominion 51.3656 1.4403
121. Hawaii 49.1116 3.1833
122. Kansas 48.3216 5.1008
123. Kent St 44.4266 0.6841
124. Rice 42.7222 1.1865
125. Charlotte 42.3407 -0.5066
126. Ball St 41.8648 -2.2176
127. San Jose St 40.9978 4.4094
128. Texas St 39.7135 1.9209
129. Texas-El Paso 38.6154 2.9802
Ratings include games through 1/1/2018.
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |