The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2018 Final Season Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
1. Clemson 108.7651 -3.4634
2. Alabama 105.6761 3.8782
3. Georgia 95.9551 3.0737
4. Oklahoma 94.0608 1.1865
5. Ohio St 91.6058 4.6419
6. Iowa 89.1213 0.8782
7. Notre Dame 88.8402 2.7311
8. Auburn 88.3641 4.1943
9. Penn St 88.2391 6.0394
10. Mississippi St 88.0135 6.9947
11. Michigan 87.9274 7.3554
12. Florida 87.2997 -0.3914
13. Texas A&M 86.9543 2.4601
14. LSU 86.9324 4.0519
15. Washington 86.8022 3.3539
16. Texas 86.0570 -0.6291
17. Missouri 85.6001 2.0218
18. C Florida 85.5085 1.8236
19. Wisconsin 85.3245 -1.6098
20. Utah 84.2402 -0.8602
21. West Virginia 84.0972 7.8954
22. Oklahoma St 83.5139 -0.6814
23. Stanford 81.8391 3.4856
24. Kentucky 81.6399 2.9492
25. Boise St 81.5323 -0.9308
26. Fresno St 81.4593 4.2864
27. Washington St 81.3847 6.7748
28. Army 80.6613 -6.8746
29. NC State 80.4915 4.0100
30. Northwestern 80.0742 -0.1504
31. Iowa St 79.9059 6.7717
32. Syracuse 79.7642 1.3490
33. Michigan St 79.7095 -0.6677
34. Duke 79.4532 -4.7811
35. Miami Fl 79.3959 5.7812
36. TCU 79.3136 1.6986
37. South Carolina 79.2725 -0.5581
38. Appalachian St 79.0121 -0.0729
39. Boston College 78.6558 0.2343
40. Utah St 78.1748 3.3974
41. Purdue 77.4548 3.5234
42. Texas Tech 76.8508 2.0056
43. Oregon 76.7925 3.5645
44. Virginia 76.7802 1.7483
45. Pittsburgh 76.7367 1.1642
46. Vanderbilt 76.6588 1.9233
47. Kansas St 76.3933 2.5549
48. Temple 76.0547 0.4466
49. Wake Forest 75.9875 -2.6312
50. Ohio 75.2202 4.9800
51. Arizona St 74.9231 6.1317
52. Georgia Tech 74.7505 6.9656
53. USC 74.5500 4.9874
54. Maryland 74.4745 0.5489
55. Cincinnati 74.2033 5.5362
56. Minnesota 73.8810 6.7184
57. Indiana 73.6546 2.4111
58. Nebraska 73.2874 0.9669
59. California 72.9542 3.2654
60. Virginia Tech 72.8819 3.4555
61. Mississippi 72.6930 1.1839
62. Memphis 72.6199 6.6238
63. Baylor 72.2912 3.1323
64. BYU 71.6103 0.9995
65. UCLA 71.2784 0.3950
66. Tennessee 70.8649 0.4467
67. Florida St 70.8092 3.6025
68. Colorado 70.5224 2.2085
69. Troy 69.1015 -2.8034
70. San Diego St 68.4345 -1.0550
71. Houston 68.1694 7.7380
72. Marshall 67.6872 3.0353
73. Toledo 67.5889 3.7891
74. Arizona 67.4301 8.2309
75. Wyoming 67.3113 0.8305
76. Florida Atl 66.4385 1.0281
77. North Carolina 65.6582 3.6145
78. Arkansas 65.6404 1.0400
79. E Michigan 65.4956 1.6138
80. Buffalo 65.3742 7.4139
81. Air Force 65.3040 5.3470
82. UAB 65.1433 9.2982
83. Arkansas St 64.9366 3.6388
84. Tulane 64.8244 3.4788
85. South Florida 64.5646 0.6802
86. Louisiana Tech 64.1435 -3.9847
87. Southern Miss 64.1261 -1.0458
88. Middle Tenn St 64.0977 5.2737
89. Kansas 64.0408 5.2485
90. Florida Intl 64.0118 2.1779
91. Miami Oh 63.9898 2.2007
92. Navy 63.6836 3.2669
93. N Illinois 63.3894 6.7272
94. Georgia So 63.2889 7.0225
95. Nevada 63.1063 5.7307
96. North Texas 62.7131 8.4310
97. SMU 62.4919 2.5126
98. Tulsa 61.7145 -0.0213
99. Louisville 61.4213 0.6956
100. W Michigan 60.6922 0.5813
101. UL Lafayette 59.2246 -0.2260
102. Illinois 58.8596 -0.8675
103. UNLV 57.4987 -4.6233
104. Colorado St 56.9960 5.3769
105. Oregon St 56.6627 0.1533
106. Hawaii 56.5910 2.6028
107. UL Monroe 56.0819 1.2092
108. Rutgers 55.7545 3.1014
109. Akron 54.9178 1.4824
110. New Mexico 54.7718 0.5967
111. C Michigan 54.6441 -2.4459
112. W Kentucky 54.3653 3.4312
113. Massachusetts 54.3230 0.8597
114. Georgia St 53.7242 -5.3153
115. Charlotte 53.0809 1.9378
116. Bowling Green 52.9368 -2.9854
117. San Jose St 51.0339 2.1676
118. Ball St 50.8956 0.0482
119. Liberty 50.8035 7.1408
120. C Carolina 50.5197 1.1553
121. UTSA 50.2714 -1.7958
122. East Carolina 50.0163 8.0650
123. Old Dominion 48.9903 4.2473
124. S Alabama 47.8095 3.3170
125. Idaho 47.5768 3.2366
126. Kent St 47.1529 3.9672
127. New Mexico St 45.9083 4.3992
128. Texas St 45.3126 1.7263
129. Rice 44.7477 -0.8797
130. Connecticut 43.8109 1.6612
131. Texas-El Paso 40.8862 2.7630
2018 Ratings (Including all games).
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |