The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2020 Season Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. I am including schools that, as of now, are planning on playing in the spring. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
1. Alabama 109.1659 2.9269
2. Ohio St 102.5922 4.3438
3. Clemson 102.5206 -3.1382
4. Oklahoma 96.6090 2.4442
5. Georgia 95.9664 2.1354
6. Iowa 93.7671 0.2434
7. Florida 90.9983 3.7861
8. Notre Dame 90.4964 2.1544
9. Texas 90.0700 -0.0923
10. Texas A&M 89.8731 2.9629
11. Wisconsin 89.8437 2.6455
12. Iowa St 87.7225 6.7654
13. LSU 86.9170 2.1868
14. Oklahoma St 86.1647 -0.6098
15. Auburn 85.7136 4.5205
16. Penn St 85.6874 1.9306
17. Indiana 85.3099 3.2453
18. Cincinnati 85.0874 5.4567
19. Northwestern 85.0655 -0.8056
20. Oregon 84.7260 2.9664
21. Utah 83.9561 3.3144
22. BYU 83.1511 3.3494
23. TCU 82.4320 2.2140
24. C Florida 81.2035 -0.2583
25. USC 81.0105 4.9249
26. Mississippi 81.0000 1.5755
27. Washington 80.9176 2.2679
28. North Carolina 80.7241 2.9397
29. Arizona St 80.7019 5.4842
30. Michigan 79.5555 5.6614
31. Baylor 79.1516 0.6799
32. Miami Fl 78.5168 4.6114
33. UCLA 77.7474 -0.6648
34. Minnesota 77.5737 4.7715
35. Kentucky 76.7746 4.0312
36. Appalachian St 76.6434 -1.6979
37. West Virginia 76.5969 5.8304
38. Boise St 76.5396 0.7395
39. C Carolina 76.4731 -4.2190
40. Kansas St 76.0308 2.2582
41. Arkansas 75.9296 -2.0786
42. UL Lafayette 75.8985 0.2955
43. Nebraska 75.8585 -0.0810
44. Virginia Tech 75.5915 2.4979
45. Wake Forest 75.3821 1.1898
46. Tennessee 75.2832 -0.3857
47. Tulsa 75.0321 -0.4476
48. Air Force 74.8015 5.6656
49. Army 74.7093 -3.5859
50. Missouri 74.3305 7.1868
51. Mississippi St 74.0995 6.0288
52. Virginia 73.8682 2.4837
53. Oregon St 73.7535 -1.7789
54. Purdue 73.4612 2.3353
55. Pittsburgh 73.4192 1.4094
56. Texas Tech 73.2610 3.4165
57. Washington St 73.1325 8.0850
58. Stanford 72.9289 3.7980
59. Michigan St 72.7925 -0.6648
60. San Diego St 72.6086 0.9864
61. California 72.5444 0.4488
62. Louisville 72.5394 3.8237
63. South Carolina 72.1971 0.9529
64. Tulane 71.3727 6.0849
65. Boston College 70.8853 0.6492
66. SMU 70.7648 2.6296
67. Memphis 70.5393 5.6452
68. Colorado 70.4610 5.1022
69. Ball St 69.3586 1.1962
70. Buffalo 69.2122 9.1309
71. Maryland 68.9845 -0.9350
72. Houston 68.8413 4.3676
73. San Jose St 68.7877 2.4358
74. Wyoming 68.7176 2.5547
75. Marshall 68.4980 1.7510
76. NC State 68.4438 5.2058
77. Illinois 67.7629 0.4923
78. Ohio 67.4895 -0.5068
79. Liberty 66.6953 5.7762
80. Florida Atl 66.1633 1.6996
81. Troy 65.4379 -0.2860
82. Rutgers 65.3511 2.7357
83. UAB 65.0875 11.3234
84. Nevada 64.8989 4.3769
85. Fresno St 64.6783 2.8055
86. Hawaii 64.5466 1.9682
87. Georgia So 64.3701 7.7225
88. Florida St 64.3583 2.7813
89. Navy 63.8664 1.3502
90. Duke 63.8144 -4.7408
91. W Michigan 63.4055 5.0178
92. Syracuse 62.9121 -0.0287
93. E Michigan 62.0836 -2.6792
94. Miami Oh 62.0200 3.6023
95. Georgia Tech 61.8798 2.2177
96. C Michigan 61.7935 4.3247
97. Georgia St 61.7281 1.2734
98. W Kentucky 61.2511 2.3986
99. Toledo 61.0500 6.4613
100. Rice 60.7877 -0.9340
101. Kent St 59.8669 4.1304
102. UTSA 59.5935 0.5172
103. East Carolina 59.2840 6.0371
104. Vanderbilt 59.2568 1.9186
105. Arizona 58.8646 5.6602
106. Arkansas St 58.5437 3.1551
107. Colorado St 58.1454 4.9767
108. Kansas 57.8647 0.1612
109. Temple 57.6476 1.9042
110. Louisiana Tech 57.2804 1.8933
111. South Florida 57.1314 -1.6293
112. Utah St 56.4526 2.5793
113. Southern Miss 55.7935 -0.3707
114. Florida Intl 55.6202 5.0065
115. Charlotte 55.1194 5.0139
116. New Mexico 55.0737 1.7405
117. Texas St 53.9501 1.8735
118. Middle Tenn St 53.2633 7.4702
119. N Illinois 52.9726 4.7858
120. S Alabama 52.7249 4.1942
121. UNLV 52.7114 -4.5408
122. Old Dominion 51.2934 -0.4923
123. North Texas 50.0816 7.2442
124. Idaho 47.9907 3.1511
125. Texas-El Paso 45.8492 1.3279
126. New Mexico St 44.9406 4.7439
127. UL Monroe 43.9888 1.6023
128. Connecticut 43.6352 2.4653
129. Akron 37.8967 0.2044
130. Bowling Green 32.7451 2.5109
131. Massachusetts 31.6998 1.5688
2020 Ratings include games through January 2, 2021.
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |