The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2021 Season Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
1. Georgia 103.4924 3.0234
2. Alabama 101.8242 4.3634
3. Ohio St 96.5313 2.2289
4. Iowa 91.7588 -0.2906
5. Cincinnati 91.6871 4.5231
6. Penn St 89.9332 3.0189
7. Michigan 89.8337 3.1966
8. Clemson 88.7735 -2.6376
9. Iowa St 88.7215 5.6389
10. Oklahoma 88.5291 1.1348
11. Texas 87.3739 2.1282
12. Notre Dame 86.6841 1.4442
13. Oklahoma St 86.2010 0.3670
14. Mississippi 85.5630 1.5355
15. Tennessee 85.4511 -0.4734
16. Texas A&M 84.6326 2.6948
17. Florida 84.3225 3.4995
18. Auburn 83.7148 3.6041
19. Utah 83.4940 2.8342
20. Arizona St 83.1186 4.0293
21. Michigan St 82.8424 -0.1386
22. Wisconsin 82.8073 1.2787
23. Pittsburgh 81.7247 0.9816
24. Oregon 81.5659 3.0373
25. UCLA 81.3594 0.9484
26. C Carolina 81.2492 -0.4357
27. Baylor 81.1981 2.8694
28. Purdue 81.1354 0.8753
29. Nebraska 80.7767 3.1089
30. Arkansas 80.6304 -0.1495
31. Wake Forest 80.3357 1.9512
32. USC 80.0471 1.5876
33. Kentucky 79.7058 5.3426
34. Minnesota 79.2704 1.0033
35. Boise St 79.1476 0.9728
36. Kansas St 79.0818 2.3597
37. Washington 78.8588 2.7260
38. LSU 78.2593 3.7204
39. TCU 78.0563 2.1367
40. Oregon St 77.8558 0.7434
41. UL Lafayette 77.8216 1.9145
42. BYU 77.7729 3.3617
43. Air Force 77.4638 4.3349
44. NC State 77.3382 4.3151
45. Virginia 76.0491 3.1183
46. Indiana 75.7213 3.6935
47. North Carolina 75.6649 4.2555
48. San Diego St 74.6017 2.3658
49. Houston 74.4239 3.0009
50. Appalachian St 74.3611 -0.3090
51. Mississippi St 73.9885 2.5945
52. Louisville 73.9853 4.2591
53. Miami Fl 73.8676 3.5840
54. Stanford 73.8651 3.3017
55. Texas Tech 73.6319 2.0465
56. Fresno St 73.5306 2.9288
57. Virginia Tech 73.4532 3.2419
58. C Florida 73.0687 0.9940
59. West Virginia 72.7202 4.4173
60. Army 72.3551 0.7371
61. Northwestern 72.2151 3.2449
62. Liberty 71.7754 3.9492
63. Rutgers 71.3345 1.3031
64. SMU 71.2975 2.6899
65. Washington St 71.2940 3.5106
66. Nevada 70.6927 4.6648
67. Marshall 70.2627 1.1712
68. Boston College 70.0792 0.6988
69. UAB 70.0637 5.4897
70. California 69.9837 2.0055
71. Colorado St 69.9663 4.2186
72. W Michigan 69.9458 2.0399
73. Syracuse 69.8640 0.8719
74. South Carolina 69.6224 0.6934
75. Tulsa 69.3368 -2.6178
76. UTSA 69.3362 1.0825
77. Ball St 68.5204 1.1605
78. Florida St 68.4416 4.5537
79. Maryland 68.2221 0.8795
80. Colorado 67.9950 3.3726
81. Wyoming 67.7535 2.8926
82. Toledo 67.1095 2.2440
83. Illinois 66.9769 1.9133
84. Florida Atl 66.7377 4.5957
85. Missouri 66.1276 4.9336
86. W Kentucky 66.0684 1.1635
87. Georgia Tech 66.0067 1.5913
88. East Carolina 65.0160 5.0756
89. Memphis 64.5068 5.2672
90. Tulane 64.0187 4.2538
91. Utah St 63.6209 -0.0591
92. Georgia St 63.0354 -3.6279
93. Miami Oh 62.8404 3.9842
94. E Michigan 62.5067 0.8086
95. Hawaii 62.3912 2.7834
96. San Jose St 62.0646 2.3747
97. S Alabama 62.0026 2.3601
98. Buffalo 61.5519 7.1954
99. C Michigan 60.3608 2.8219
100. Troy 59.9713 0.8353
101. Louisiana Tech 59.6719 2.6609
102. Navy 58.4499 0.9293
103. Duke 58.3871 -0.0891
104. N Illinois 58.0627 3.3630
105. Ohio 57.7347 1.5272
106. UNLV 57.0048 -2.8647
107. Vanderbilt 56.9268 -1.1445
108. Kent St 56.8401 4.1316
109. Texas-El Paso 56.6829 2.2855
110. Georgia So 56.6743 8.6906
111. Arizona 55.9704 3.8841
112. Charlotte 55.8419 3.7980
113. South Florida 55.7653 2.1843
114. Texas St 55.2036 1.8430
115. Middle Tenn St 55.2006 5.5462
116. Arkansas St 52.5203 3.6498
117. Old Dominion 52.1668 0.2574
118. New Mexico 50.4765 2.2410
119. Temple 49.6764 2.6915
120. Kansas 49.4958 1.5952
121. Florida Intl 49.2570 3.7458
122. North Texas 48.5743 3.5329
123. Southern Miss 47.6898 -0.4186
124. Rice 47.5660 0.3324
125. UL Monroe 47.4089 2.7579
126. Bowling Green 46.7906 2.4236
127. New Mexico St 46.1709 2.3056
128. Akron 43.4058 0.5122
129. Idaho 41.0418 3.5632
130. Connecticut 40.8477 3.0062
131. Massachusetts 38.3446 2.5725
2021 ratings include games results through 10/16/21.
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |