The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2019 Season Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
1. Clemson 107.9574 -2.4458
2. Ohio St 106.4980 5.1890
3. Alabama 102.9593 1.6740
4. LSU 99.2710 4.7564
5. Georgia 96.0003 2.5073
6. Wisconsin 94.1962 2.5847
7. Penn St 93.3679 3.0442
8. Oklahoma 92.6131 2.0050
9. Florida 92.5296 3.5151
10. Auburn 92.1586 3.5270
11. Utah 91.4493 2.8541
12. Oregon 90.3480 3.1850
13. Michigan 89.5712 7.0423
14. Notre Dame 89.1565 3.6653
15. Iowa 88.6869 0.3283
16. Baylor 85.5038 1.5983
17. Texas 84.6653 1.3953
18. Iowa St 84.2591 5.4165
19. C Florida 84.2376 0.1503
20. Washington 83.6550 4.2373
21. Texas A&M 83.1378 3.9573
22. Oklahoma St 83.1298 -0.4582
23. Appalachian St 81.8665 -2.5603
24. Kansas St 81.3977 2.5878
25. TCU 81.0675 2.1193
26. Minnesota 80.9245 6.9507
27. Boise St 79.9869 -0.0885
28. USC 79.4811 4.6584
29. Memphis 79.1870 6.2865
30. Michigan St 78.0715 -0.1127
31. Mississippi St 77.8740 6.1488
32. Mississippi 77.8122 1.0335
33. Virginia Tech 77.5992 1.0702
34. Kentucky 77.5082 3.4990
35. Washington St 77.3511 7.6523
36. Indiana 76.7725 3.1964
37. Missouri 76.1909 6.3442
38. Virginia 76.1572 2.5208
39. Cincinnati 76.0482 6.2630
40. Nebraska 75.8273 0.4149
41. South Carolina 75.7760 1.6654
42. Navy 75.7144 4.0040
43. Florida Atl 75.5759 1.3476
44. Tennessee 75.1226 0.2443
45. North Carolina 75.1183 3.5444
46. Miami Fl 74.5615 4.3903
47. Texas Tech 74.5356 3.7335
48. Air Force 74.5121 5.9504
49. UL Lafayette 74.1029 0.5700
50. California 74.0801 0.0525
51. Arizona St 73.2452 6.0946
52. SMU 73.2270 2.7971
53. Wake Forest 73.1230 0.8307
54. West Virginia 73.0573 4.3921
55. Purdue 72.5991 2.1570
56. Boston College 72.5699 -0.7703
57. Pittsburgh 72.5339 1.3027
58. Northwestern 72.1057 -2.1674
59. Army 71.9057 -5.3526
60. Florida St 71.5416 2.7082
61. Stanford 71.3668 4.0720
62. UCLA 71.2507 -1.3983
63. Temple 70.6299 2.0165
64. Utah St 70.5332 3.1620
65. Illinois 70.1818 0.2602
66. Oregon St 70.1216 -2.2821
67. Ohio 70.0244 -0.9821
68. San Diego St 69.6873 -0.5452
69. Syracuse 69.4938 0.7360
70. Duke 69.4341 -4.1837
71. Tulane 69.3145 5.7182
72. Houston 68.6559 3.7986
73. Fresno St 68.6331 2.9922
74. Wyoming 68.6267 3.0621
75. Louisville 68.5945 2.6763
76. Tulsa 68.3827 -0.4610
77. Colorado 67.5547 4.7849
78. W Kentucky 67.0085 2.7612
79. Maryland 66.4986 -1.1588
80. Marshall 66.0359 1.8828
81. Louisiana Tech 65.8145 0.8989
82. Hawaii 65.8118 2.0565
83. BYU 65.6338 3.0456
84. Kansas 65.3123 0.6213
85. Arizona 64.9946 6.7527
86. Arkansas 64.9914 -2.7072
87. Southern Miss 64.8992 0.7304
88. Buffalo 64.7840 9.3561
89. Middle Tenn St 64.3196 8.8319
90. W Michigan 63.6240 5.9782
91. Georgia So 63.5998 7.5934
92. NC State 63.3357 4.7803
93. Georgia Tech 62.4661 1.7882
94. E Michigan 62.3828 -2.4360
95. Ball St 62.2848 1.3295
96. Vanderbilt 61.4197 2.8645
97. Miami Oh 61.1442 3.6075
98. C Michigan 60.8437 4.7400
99. South Florida 60.7068 -1.4496
100. Arkansas St 60.6052 4.1987
101. Troy 60.4650 -0.1803
102. Florida Intl 59.5393 5.7275
103. San Jose St 59.0191 2.2071
104. Colorado St 58.7847 4.5779
105. C Carolina 58.7267 -5.2393
106. UAB 58.4837 11.5860
107. North Texas 58.4009 8.6816
108. N Illinois 58.2418 6.0003
109. Charlotte 58.2123 4.4957
110. UL Monroe 57.3980 2.3468
111. Georgia St 57.1837 1.1093
112. Kent St 56.6767 4.4012
113. UNLV 56.4193 -4.0077
114. Nevada 55.3080 3.9279
115. Liberty 54.7539 6.7347
116. Toledo 54.6233 6.5633
117. Rice 54.1524 -0.5412
118. East Carolina 51.9110 6.3651
119. Rutgers 51.4381 2.8268
120. New Mexico 51.3972 0.6389
121. Old Dominion 51.2574 -0.6196
122. UTSA 49.3003 -0.1586
123. Idaho 48.1450 3.2309
124. S Alabama 48.0175 5.0142
125. Texas St 47.3806 1.1958
126. New Mexico St 44.9332 4.6732
127. Connecticut 43.6814 2.2721
128. Texas-El Paso 42.6913 1.0916
129. Bowling Green 40.6150 2.5048
130. Akron 37.3516 0.0527
131. Massachusetts 33.0056 1.9148
2019 Ratings including games through 12/7/19.
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |