The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2018 Season Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
1. Alabama 111.2667 1.9378
2. Ohio St 98.6188 2.9357
3. Georgia 97.6802 2.1696
4. Oklahoma 97.4583 1.1730
5. Clemson 97.2298 -1.3899
6. Penn St 96.6144 3.2811
7. Oklahoma St 93.9826 -0.1933
8. Washington 91.7858 4.4310
9. Auburn 90.7853 6.4212
10. Wisconsin 90.6663 0.0573
11. Virginia Tech 89.9362 6.0743
12. LSU 89.6793 2.3478
13. TCU 89.5717 1.6457
14. Mississippi St 88.5663 3.3997
15. Stanford 87.3379 4.8389
16. Michigan 86.5827 5.1305
17. Miami Fl 85.8504 4.6161
18. Boise St 85.2051 -1.0178
19. Iowa 85.1773 4.9518
20. C Florida 85.1239 0.8267
21. Texas A&M 84.7322 3.0200
22. NC State 83.3653 1.7490
23. Texas 82.1318 0.6801
24. Notre Dame 82.0149 3.7392
25. West Virginia 81.9712 3.0812
26. Duke 81.7410 1.6596
27. Utah 81.1794 -1.3408
28. Boston College 80.9689 -1.1003
29. South Carolina 80.3353 -2.0462
30. Iowa St 79.7495 8.3838
31. Washington St 79.3366 7.9755
32. Michigan St 79.0738 3.1448
33. Louisville 78.9778 3.6420
34. USC 78.7515 4.8049
35. Kansas St 78.2603 0.0681
36. Appalachian St 77.9292 0.0098
37. Fresno St 77.8836 6.4931
38. Memphis 77.8781 5.2302
39. Wake Forest 77.5843 2.9428
40. Missouri 77.5819 2.2769
41. San Diego St 76.4667 0.4970
42. South Florida 75.9602 4.9312
43. Vanderbilt 75.7131 1.4388
44. Arizona St 75.4549 5.7666
45. Colorado 75.4513 4.2566
46. Syracuse 75.3792 2.7497
47. Minnesota 75.2103 3.9056
48. Florida 74.9897 3.4250
49. Mississippi 74.9735 1.7221
50. Purdue 74.7586 -2.3553
51. Georgia Tech 74.7097 6.9924
52. Kentucky 74.2949 2.6619
53. Texas Tech 74.2503 1.6113
54. Northwestern 74.1437 1.3287
55. Oregon 73.8018 2.3531
56. Pittsburgh 73.7667 -0.5383
57. Indiana 73.7103 3.8156
58. Florida St 72.9668 3.9376
59. Houston 72.7447 5.6685
60. California 72.2325 6.9232
61. Temple 71.2512 -0.9751
62. Army 71.2225 -3.3343
63. BYU 71.1484 1.6720
64. Baylor 70.4200 1.2822
65. Navy 70.4124 3.0698
66. Nebraska 70.3391 1.2710
67. Utah St 70.1758 3.9104
68. Maryland 69.7369 -3.0472
69. Virginia 69.7236 3.2592
70. Troy 69.4373 -2.8368
71. UCLA 68.6924 0.0784
72. Toledo 68.4968 3.1258
73. Tulsa 66.8505 -2.0653
74. Arkansas St 66.8335 5.1982
75. Arizona 66.7564 5.3073
76. Tennessee 66.6567 0.7836
77. Florida Atl 66.4822 2.7816
78. North Carolina 66.0953 2.0413
79. Ohio 66.0052 4.6252
80. Arkansas 65.5806 -3.2006
81. Cincinnati 65.3643 1.6874
82. North Texas 65.2263 6.6368
83. Louisiana Tech 65.1354 1.3937
84. Wyoming 65.0306 0.9399
85. N Illinois 64.8460 5.2592
86. W Michigan 64.3556 2.3410
87. E Michigan 64.1754 1.3905
88. Air Force 64.1652 4.0323
89. Marshall 63.9578 2.1450
90. UNLV 63.9410 -3.5507
91. W Kentucky 62.6699 3.4165
92. Kansas 62.6252 5.8776
93. Tulane 62.1908 4.8353
94. SMU 61.7095 2.7649
95. Southern Miss 61.3878 -1.6244
96. East Carolina 60.3451 6.3344
97. Illinois 60.1810 0.4500
98. Buffalo 60.0732 9.2966
99. Colorado St 59.4030 4.9947
100. Hawaii 59.2507 4.3983
101. Georgia So 59.2280 4.4172
102. C Michigan 58.6398 -0.5067
103. Florida Intl 58.4730 6.8207
104. New Mexico 57.6603 4.1613
105. Nevada 57.4972 3.8990
106. Oregon St 57.4459 5.1080
107. Akron 57.2360 4.4316
108. Middle Tenn St 57.0775 4.4773
109. UTSA 56.0659 -0.8067
110. UL Monroe 55.4112 -0.8870
111. Georgia St 54.7892 -6.9869
112. Miami Oh 54.3877 2.4814
113. C Carolina 54.3445 8.1597
114. Rutgers 53.8495 3.8788
115. Liberty 53.3283 12.7725
116. S Alabama 52.6032 2.9235
117. UAB 52.1457 9.9463
118. UL Lafayette 52.0956 -1.4083
119. Massachusetts 51.5540 2.1060
120. Bowling Green 50.8008 -1.1270
121. Ball St 49.9692 -3.2699
122. Idaho 49.6955 2.9482
123. Connecticut 49.4364 2.6647
124. San Jose St 47.9694 3.8019
125. Kent St 47.6045 0.6108
126. Rice 47.1856 1.3441
127. New Mexico St 46.0237 4.1519
128. Old Dominion 45.7008 2.9069
129. Charlotte 44.0103 -0.3008
130. Texas St 39.2985 1.8401
131. Texas-El Paso 38.5775 3.1775
2018 Ratings (including games through Sept 15).
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |