The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings

2026 Season Ratings

 
 
 

Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings.

Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here.

  

                         Rating  HomeAd
1.    Ohio St           97.4474  3.2363
2.    Notre Dame        97.0733  1.6734
3.    Georgia           97.0084  0.6749
4.    Indiana           96.7094  0.6882
5.    Miami Fl          96.3867  0.4988
6.    LSU               93.4946  7.0509
7.    Alabama           92.8809  7.0422
8.    Utah              92.6451  4.5002
9.    Mississippi       92.1662  4.7838
10.   Texas             90.7383  5.4265
11.   UCLA              88.7322 -4.5845
12.   Oregon            88.6581  3.0839
13.   Iowa              88.4990  3.1069
14.   Texas Tech        87.8346  4.1160
15.   South Carolina    87.7676 -1.2963
16.   Tennessee         87.5790  3.0794
17.   Wake Forest       86.9037  0.9575
18.   Texas A&M         85.6427  5.5666
19.   Baylor            84.6503 -3.6294
20.   Arizona           84.2118  6.0531
21.   Missouri          84.0499  7.7571
22.   BYU               83.4510  5.6932
23.   Kentucky          83.2607  2.5352
24.   Penn St           82.7897  4.9511
25.   Houston           82.7531 -1.7756
26.   Nebraska          82.6298  5.4910
27.   Auburn            82.4687 -1.0934
28.   USC               82.2212  7.9685
29.   Northwestern      82.1785  5.3657
30.   Oklahoma          81.6936  4.5161
31.   Florida           81.4872  6.3283
32.   Michigan          81.1293  1.2976
33.   Washington        80.7727  1.7644
34.   Duke              80.4996  2.6081
35.   Clemson           80.4855 -4.0775
36.   Wisconsin         79.9224  3.7270
37.   Boise St          79.8843  2.5391
38.   Louisville        79.3065  9.0336
39.   Mississippi St    79.0399 -0.3088
40.   Illinois          78.4887  1.5729
41.   Kansas St         78.4318  2.5554
42.   Arkansas          78.1533 -5.6066
43.   SMU               77.6672  6.3037
44.   Pittsburgh        77.2250  3.5173
45.   Vanderbilt        77.0790 -3.0958
46.   TCU               76.9785  3.0030
47.   Florida St        76.9566  4.9067
48.   Kansas            76.8548  4.9581
49.   North Carolina    76.0126  1.6855
50.   Arizona St        75.6604 -4.3786
51.   Purdue            75.3619  0.1417
52.   Iowa St           75.3177  7.1067
53.   James Madison     74.8270  6.4911
54.   New Mexico        74.5406  2.5686
55.   Memphis           74.1976  3.8392
56.   Minnesota         73.9831  4.1017
57.   Cincinnati        73.7584  6.0220
58.   Liberty           73.1751  3.1883
59.   Michigan St       72.9654 -1.0113
60.   North Texas       72.3357  7.2126
61.   Oklahoma St       71.6538  5.6388
62.   Virginia          71.5696  3.9348
63.   Virginia Tech     71.3286  4.9676
64.   West Virginia     70.8868  0.6425
65.   NDSU              70.6180  5.4462
66.   C Florida         70.1238  5.3332
67.   Oregon St         69.2437  6.1614
68.   Maryland          69.2360 -1.6945
69.   UNLV              69.0758 -0.2143
70.   Army              69.0688 -1.3352
71.   South Florida     69.0606  1.8664
72.   Fresno St         68.9586  4.5545
73.   Georgia Tech      68.9058 -0.1090
74.   Louisiana Tech    68.5708  5.4510
75.   Syracuse          68.1387  0.9362
76.   Boston College    67.7558  0.3286
77.   UTSA              67.6491  8.5206
78.   UL Lafayette      67.1403  0.4185
79.   Air Force         67.0668  2.5630
80.   Utah St           66.9972  4.9778
81.   Rutgers           66.9148 -0.0954
82.   Texas St          66.5028  6.8675
83.   Navy              66.4438 -1.5040
84.   East Carolina     65.7515  2.6658
85.   Tulane            65.4381  4.0947
86.   NC State          65.3072  8.1904
87.   Colorado          65.0852  8.7739
88.   Toledo            64.6955  4.9404
89.   W Michigan        64.3233  3.4345
90.   Washington St     63.9322  3.3862
91.   Ohio              63.2465  4.0730
92.   California        63.0441  3.6803
93.   Troy              62.7208 -3.2618
94.   Georgia So        62.4075  6.7796
95.   Connecticut       61.8758  6.4183
96.   Tulsa             61.7631 -1.2036
97.   Georgia St        61.6090 -0.1444
98.   S Alabama         61.1772  0.7595
99.   Nevada            60.7951  3.7802
100.  C Carolina        60.2723 -2.4231
101.  Jacksonville St   60.2313  6.1042
102.  Marshall          60.1107  0.2164
103.  San Diego St      59.4738  5.4517
104.  San Jose St       59.3594 -0.4309
105.  Appalachian St    59.3527  2.9598
106.  Stanford          59.2309  4.5503
107.  Florida Atl       59.1238  0.5920
108.  Temple            58.8019  1.5100
109.  UAB               58.6945  6.6865
110.  Arkansas St       58.6362  3.8649
111.  Old Dominion      57.7845  2.1678
112.  Miami Oh          57.7385  4.4850
113.  Kennesaw St       57.3666  1.1470
114.  Buffalo           57.2604  3.5458
115.  Florida Intl      57.0780  3.3416
116.  Colorado St       57.0724  1.7422
117.  Delaware          56.4111  6.2334
118.  Bowling Green     56.2187 -5.1950
119.  Hawaii            55.4189  7.9045
120.  Southern Miss     54.9669 -0.1864
121.  W Kentucky        54.4940  2.1673
122.  E Michigan        54.0116 -3.0336
123.  Missouri St       53.5992  3.9375
124.  C Michigan        53.2968  6.4229
125.  Rice              52.6216  2.0461
126.  Wyoming           52.5110  9.4843
127.  Charlotte         52.0700 -6.8664
128.  New Mexico St     51.9086  1.9956
129.  N Illinois        51.7896 -6.5677
130.  Massachusetts     51.7667 -2.9962
131.  Middle Tenn St    51.7378  2.9865
132.  Sam Houston St    46.9598  0.6058
133.  Ball St           46.2800  5.3862
134.  UL Monroe         45.7952  2.7268
135.  Akron             45.6456  0.7685
136.  Texas-El Paso     44.4060  0.1913
137.  Kent St           41.4385  8.1062
138.  Sacramento St     35.9590  2.4368


Ratings include games through 10/31/2026.



Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here.

Email:mailto:edwardkambour@sbcglobal.net

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