The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings2025 Season Ratings |
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Below are the ratings for Division 1 Bowl Subdivision College Football. The first column is the school name, followed by the estimated power rating and home-field advantage. To forecast the outcome of a game simply subtract the visiting team's rating from the sum of the home team's rating and the home team's home field advantage. The difference is approximately the forecasted point-spread. Thus, if the result is positive, the home team is predicted to win, while if the result is negative, the visiting team is predicted to win. The teams are ranked by their ratings. Predictions of this weekend's games can be found here. |
Rating HomeAd
1. Ohio St 102.5155 3.5239
2. Notre Dame 97.0681 1.4695
3. Indiana 96.7420 3.9848
4. Oregon 95.4633 3.5563
5. Georgia 94.2339 1.0586
6. Alabama 93.8950 4.0436
7. Miami Fl 93.6576 1.0873
8. Texas 92.6301 2.3810
9. Mississippi 90.2507 2.9346
10. Texas Tech 89.3808 3.5900
11. Iowa 87.3938 1.9693
12. Utah 87.3247 2.6265
13. Texas A&M 86.8577 3.8072
14. Tennessee 86.6904 1.1483
15. Michigan 86.5263 0.9586
16. USC 86.2004 5.7386
17. Vanderbilt 85.9708 -1.3696
18. LSU 85.4899 4.5547
19. Oklahoma 85.2479 5.2570
20. Penn St 84.7239 3.7997
21. BYU 83.9590 2.9170
22. Illinois 83.8848 -1.0629
23. Washington 83.1643 4.3620
24. South Carolina 82.8870 0.5339
25. TCU 82.7931 1.7177
26. Nebraska 82.6540 3.1366
27. Georgia Tech 81.7738 -0.6363
28. Auburn 81.6154 1.8975
29. Missouri 81.5315 7.1521
30. Arkansas 81.0374 -3.9631
31. Clemson 80.9777 -1.6387
32. Iowa St 80.8159 5.9450
33. Kansas St 80.7649 3.0125
34. Baylor 80.6642 -2.8784
35. Duke 80.6021 0.6106
36. Kansas 80.5700 2.1918
37. Louisville 79.9468 8.8864
38. SMU 79.8088 5.3997
39. Arizona St 79.4005 -0.0655
40. Virginia 79.2704 -0.4239
41. Florida 79.1954 4.8210
42. Maryland 78.8021 0.1960
43. Cincinnati 78.4665 4.8860
44. Florida St 78.4641 2.7037
45. Pittsburgh 76.5926 2.0806
46. Memphis 76.5422 5.5723
47. Boise St 76.3475 1.0170
48. Colorado 75.3352 7.2583
49. C Florida 75.2261 1.1576
50. Kentucky 74.9282 1.7212
51. Rutgers 74.8878 -0.0251
52. UNLV 74.7761 -2.0366
53. Tulane 74.6612 4.7903
54. Mississippi St 74.4323 0.8208
55. South Florida 74.3723 1.5779
56. Old Dominion 73.3101 1.8294
57. Minnesota 73.1576 1.4116
58. Army 73.0622 -3.8746
59. Arizona 72.7548 5.8115
60. UCLA 72.7333 -2.4502
61. Wisconsin 72.3566 0.7411
62. James Madison 72.0135 5.6386
63. Houston 71.6994 2.5024
64. Northwestern 71.6080 3.4073
65. NC State 71.1539 5.0215
66. East Carolina 71.1135 3.5955
67. Wake Forest 70.7737 -0.1694
68. North Texas 70.0806 3.3116
69. Syracuse 69.8760 2.6743
70. Washington St 69.8662 4.5860
71. Ohio 69.2624 3.2639
72. Michigan St 68.9626 0.0543
73. San Diego St 68.8232 0.1635
74. Bowling Green 68.6883 -2.5009
75. Virginia Tech 68.6845 5.7493
76. Marshall 68.4344 0.4134
77. Purdue 67.5112 -0.6709
78. Toledo 67.4158 4.1437
79. Navy 67.3675 -1.6686
80. Troy 67.0049 -2.5326
81. West Virginia 66.8107 6.2288
82. California 66.7428 4.6292
83. Texas St 66.3877 5.6322
84. UTSA 65.7575 4.5703
85. New Mexico 65.4717 1.9414
86. San Jose St 63.1099 0.2777
87. Colorado St 63.0851 2.2899
88. Miami Oh 62.8646 5.0068
89. Connecticut 62.7162 5.2151
90. S Alabama 62.5502 2.8643
91. North Carolina 62.3099 3.7554
92. Boston College 62.2129 -0.6063
93. Fresno St 62.1270 5.9218
94. Utah St 62.0716 3.3373
95. Stanford 61.8803 1.1825
96. UL Lafayette 61.6419 1.5693
97. Delaware 61.3574 1.7796
98. W Kentucky 61.2187 2.7185
99. Louisiana Tech 61.1165 3.0581
100. Jacksonville St 60.2474 6.7489
101. N Illinois 60.1042 -3.1704
102. Liberty 59.9818 0.8467
103. Wyoming 59.8910 4.6351
104. Appalachian St 59.7291 3.4477
105. W Michigan 59.5955 3.5653
106. Hawaii 59.3207 3.8636
107. Oregon St 59.2838 2.6494
108. Air Force 58.7579 5.3876
109. Southern Miss 56.7334 0.3622
110. E Michigan 56.3886 -2.9643
111. Georgia So 56.3359 6.9984
112. Oklahoma St 56.0089 2.7065
113. Temple 55.5902 5.1182
114. C Carolina 55.3166 -0.5519
115. Kennesaw St 55.2051 5.7507
116. Buffalo 55.0617 5.6449
117. Missouri St 54.4300 2.7271
118. Florida Atl 54.4276 -0.2608
119. Arkansas St 54.2732 3.5511
120. Georgia St 53.8347 -2.4639
121. Rice 53.5445 -0.7708
122. Nevada 52.8743 1.2947
123. Tulsa 51.8525 -4.8882
124. New Mexico St 51.7221 2.0558
125. Sam Houston St 50.6186 2.7465
126. Texas-El Paso 50.2587 1.2709
127. UAB 50.0056 5.6173
128. C Michigan 49.8006 3.1559
129. Charlotte 49.5275 -1.6978
130. UL Monroe 48.5806 4.4261
131. Florida Intl 48.2986 4.4178
132. Middle Tenn St 48.2608 6.0270
133. Ball St 46.8992 2.9588
134. Akron 45.8265 -0.2353
135. Kent St 43.4180 4.6728
136. Massachusetts 39.4340 1.9500
Ratings include games through 10/11/2025.
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Note: These ratings are the result of a Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian Linear Forecaster. The author has a Ph.D. in Statistics from Texas A&M. He specializes in Bayesian Forecasting. The forecasting method has been presented at four technical conferences, the 1997 and 1998 Conferences of Texas Statisticians, as an invited presentation at the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings , and at a 2003 Houston INFORMS meeting. The powerpoint slides from the INFORMS talk are available here. |